Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE) - NFL

In this project, I am predicting the probability of a pass being completed. I’ll build a classification model utilizing a Gradient Boosting Algorithm. The goal will be to evaluate the prediction error (outcome – the likelihood of completion) to assess how much a passer over-or-underperformed in a given pass. Finally, I will be estimating the mean residual, which we call Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE) for each QB during a period.

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Adrian Cadena-Medina
Adrian Cadena-Medina
Senior Data Analyst

Driving meaningful improvement by employing data science. Statistically oriented with interest in Machine and Deep Learning. My research interests include sports analytics, sustainability, and welfare economics.